Cubs at Nationals
Last play · Keibert Ruiz grounds out sharply, pitcher Ryan Pressly to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Nationals0%
CHC 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 7 – 3 WSH
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Nationals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Carson Kelly scores. Michael Busch to 3rd. (inning 5) — -17% Cubs
7Michael Busch homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.8–3
5Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Carson Kelly scores. Michael Busch to 3rd.7–3
5Michael Busch walks. Ian Happ scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd. Carson Kelly to 2nd.5–3
5Seiya Suzuki out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Robert Hassell III. Matt Shaw scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.4–3
4Dansby Swanson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Daylen Lile. Carson Kelly scores.3–3
4Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd.2–3
3James Wood out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Daylen Lile scores.1–3
3CJ Abrams grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. José Tena scores. Daylen Lile to 3rd.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
