Mets at Dodgers
Last play · Freddie Freeman doubles (19) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Tommy Edman scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
NYM 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 5 – 4 LAD
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Dodgers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Muncy homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 9) — +43% Dodgers
10Freddie Freeman doubles (19) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Tommy Edman scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd.5–6
9Max Muncy homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.5–5
5Mets challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Starling Marte scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd.5–4
5Pete Alonso doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Francisco Lindor scores. Starling Marte to 3rd.4–4
3Juan Soto homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Francisco Lindor scores.3–4
1Max Muncy homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Teoscar Hernández scores.1–4
1Will Smith grounds out, third baseman Ronny Mauricio to first baseman Pete Alonso. Freddie Freeman scores. Teoscar Hernández to 2nd.1–2
1Freddie Freeman doubles (18) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Mookie Betts scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd. Freddie Freeman advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by second baseman Jeff McNeil.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
