D-backs at Braves
Last play · Michael Harris II strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
AZ 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 0 ATL
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Braves favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Geraldo Perdomo scores. (inning 3) — -14% D-backs
9Drake Baldwin walks. Matt Olson scores. Eli White to 3rd. Luke Williams to 2nd.2–1
9Ketel Marte singles on a line drive to left fielder Eli White. Tim Tawa scores.2–0
3Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Geraldo Perdomo scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
