Phillies at Blue Jays
Last play · Alejandro Kirk doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
PHI 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 0 TOR
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Bichette triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Andrés Giménez scores. (inning 6) — +15% Blue Jays
9Alejandro Kirk doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.1–2
6Bo Bichette triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Andrés Giménez scores.1–1
2Nick Castellanos homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
