Cubs at Nationals
Last play · Kyle Tucker grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Nationals100%
CHC 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 0 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Nationals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Amed Rosario homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 7) — +30% Nationals
8Nasim Nuñez doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Alex Call scores.0–2
7Amed Rosario homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
