Rangers at Rays
Last play · Corey Seager grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Rays100%
TEX 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 5 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Rays favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Josh Lowe scores. (inning 3) — +12% Rays
9Wyatt Langford singles on a fly ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Josh Smith scores.4–5
5Wyatt Langford doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Josh Smith scores.3–5
5Jonah Heim homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Burger scores.2–5
3Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to first baseman Jake Burger. Yandy Díaz scores. Jonathan Aranda scores.0–5
3Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Brandon Lowe scores. Yandy Díaz to 2nd.0–3
3Brandon Lowe doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Josh Lowe scores.0–2
1Brandon Lowe homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
