Guardians at Yankees
Last play · Carlos Santana grounds out, first baseman Paul Goldschmidt to pitcher Jonathan Loáisiga.
Win probability
Yankees100%
CLE 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 2 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+230 / -285
Yankees favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Bellinger homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Aaron Judge scores. (inning 4) — +22% Yankees
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.0–4
7Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Trent Grisham scores. Aaron Judge to 3rd.0–3
4Cody Bellinger homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Aaron Judge scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
