Royals at Cardinals
Last play · Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Drew Waters. Lars Nootbaar scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
KC 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 0 STL
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cardinals favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Iván Herrera homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Brendan Donovan scores. (inning 8) — +61% Cardinals
10Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Drew Waters. Lars Nootbaar scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.5–6
10Masyn Winn grounds out to first baseman Salvador Perez. Yohel Pozo scores. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.5–5
10Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to second baseman Brendan Donovan, deflected by shortstop Masyn Winn. Maikel Garcia scores.5–4
9Jonathan India out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Nick Loftin scores. Kyle Isbel to 2nd.4–4
8Iván Herrera homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Brendan Donovan scores.3–4
7Yohel Pozo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Nolan Arenado scores.3–2
7Cardinals challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Cardinals challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Nolan Arenado grounds into a force out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Michael Massey. Willson Contreras scores. Iván Herrera out at 2nd. Nolan Arenado to 1st.3–1
5Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alec Burleson. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
