Padres at Giants
Last play · Gavin Sheets pops out to third baseman Matt Chapman.
Win probability
Giants100%
SD 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 5 – 1 SF
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Giants favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Heliot Ramos doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Willy Adames scores. Daniel Johnson scores. Tyler Fitzgerald to 3rd. (inning 7) — +38% Giants
7Jung Hoo Lee out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Tyler Fitzgerald scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd.5–6
7Heliot Ramos doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Willy Adames scores. Daniel Johnson scores. Tyler Fitzgerald to 3rd.5–5
6Matt Chapman homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Jung Hoo Lee scores.5–3
5Patrick Bailey doubles (9) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Daniel Johnson scores.5–1
5Gavin Sheets singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daniel Johnson, deflected by pitcher Kyle Harrison. Luis Arraez scores. Jackson Merrill scores.5–0
5Jackson Merrill doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd.3–0
1Gavin Sheets triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Daniel Johnson. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Manny Machado scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
