Mets at Dodgers
Last play · Dalton Rushing pops out to second baseman Luisangel Acuña.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
NYM 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 3 – 0 LAD
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -130
Dodgers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Brandon Nimmo scores. (inning 1) — -16% Mets
9Andy Pages homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
8Pete Alonso homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Brandon Nimmo scores. Juan Soto scores.6–0
1Pete Alonso homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–0
1Juan Soto grounds out sharply, second baseman Enrique Hernández to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
