Phillies at Blue Jays
Last play · Max Kepler flies out to center fielder Myles Straw.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
PHI 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 8 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Bichette homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Heineman scores. (inning 2) — +12% Blue Jays
6Alejandro Kirk singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. George Springer scores.1–9
6Kyle Schwarber singles on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Trea Turner scores.1–8
3Tyler Heineman singles on a fly ball to left fielder Max Kepler, deflected by shortstop Trea Turner. Davis Schneider scores. Myles Straw scores. Jonatan Clase to 2nd.0–8
3Myles Straw singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Alejandro Kirk scores. Ernie Clement scores. Davis Schneider to 3rd.0–6
2Bo Bichette homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Heineman scores.0–4
2Tyler Heineman doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Myles Straw scores.0–2
2Myles Straw doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Davis Schneider scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
