Cubs at Nationals
Last play · Robert Hassell III grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Nationals0%
CHC 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 0 WSH
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Nationals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 1) — -22% Cubs
9Luis García Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Daylen Lile scores.7–1
9Ian Happ singles on a line drive to center fielder Robert Hassell III. Matt Shaw scores. Reese McGuire to 2nd.7–0
9Reese McGuire singles on a line drive to pitcher Eduardo Salazar. Nico Hoerner scores. Matt Shaw to 3rd.6–0
6Ian Happ homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Reese McGuire scores.5–0
2Ian Happ doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Alex Call. Matt Shaw scores.3–0
1Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Tucker scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
