Mets at Dodgers
Last play · Luisangel Acuña flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
NYM 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 4 – 3 LAD
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -130
Dodgers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Brett Baty. Will Smith scores. Throwing error by third baseman Brett Baty. (inning 8) — +32% Dodgers
8Michael Conforto singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Andy Pages scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd.5–6
8Andy Pages reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Brett Baty. Will Smith scores. Throwing error by third baseman Brett Baty.5–5
8Will Smith doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Mookie Betts scores.5–4
8Pete Alonso singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Starling Marte scores. Juan Soto to 3rd.5–3
3Teoscar Hernández grounds into a force out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to shortstop Luisangel Acuña. Mookie Betts scores. Will Smith out at 2nd. Teoscar Hernández to 1st.4–3
3Will Smith singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Shohei Ohtani scores. Mookie Betts to 3rd.4–2
3Mookie Betts doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Miguel Rojas scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd.4–1
3Brett Baty out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Michael Conforto. Pete Alonso scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
