Rangers at Rays
Last play · Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Taylor Walls singles on a ground ball to second baseman Marcus Semien. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero scores. Christopher Morel to 2nd.
Win probability
Rays100%
TEX 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 1 TB
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Rays favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Taylor Walls singles on a ground ball to second baseman Marcus Semien. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero scores. Christopher Morel to 2nd. (inning 9) — +55% Rays
9Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Taylor Walls singles on a ground ball to second baseman Marcus Semien. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero scores. Christopher Morel to 2nd.3–4
9Junior Caminero singles on a ground ball to center fielder Evan Carter. José Caballero scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.3–2
7Marcus Semien homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
5Marcus Semien homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
3Jake Burger homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
2Junior Caminero homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
