Orioles at Mariners
Last play · Dylan Moore strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Mariners0%
BAL 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Mariners favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adley Rutschman homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Holliday scores. (inning 6) — -31% Orioles
6Gunnar Henderson homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
6Adley Rutschman homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Holliday scores.3–3
5Cal Raleigh homers (24) on a fly ball to right field. J.P. Crawford scores.1–3
3Cal Raleigh singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Jorge Polanco scores.1–1
3Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
