Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Kristian Campbell called out on strikes.
Win probability
Yankees100%
BOS 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 8 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Trent Grisham scores. Aaron Judge scores. (inning 1) — +24% Yankees
7Rafael Devers homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Jarren Duran scores.6–9
6Paul Goldschmidt homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.4–9
6Romy Gonzalez singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Rafael Devers scores. Carlos Narváez scores. Abraham Toro to 3rd. Romy Gonzalez to 2nd.4–8
6Wilyer Abreu out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Jarren Duran scores.2–8
5Aaron Judge singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Austin Wells scores. DJ LeMahieu to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Jarren Duran.1–8
5Marcelo Mayer homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–7
2Anthony Volpe hit by pitch. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd. Jasson Domínguez to 2nd.0–7
2Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Aaron Judge scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
