Marlins at Rays
Last play · Javier Sanoja lines out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
Win probability
Rays100%
MIA 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 3 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -145
Rays favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Lopez homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Javier Sanoja scores. (inning 8) — -16% Marlins
8Otto Lopez homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Javier Sanoja scores.3–4
7Matt Thaiss singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Jonathan Aranda scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd. Matt Thaiss to 2nd.1–4
4Agustín Ramírez homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
3Jake Mangum grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Liam Hicks. Junior Caminero scores.0–3
3Jonathan Aranda grounds out, second baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Liam Hicks. Brandon Lowe scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.0–2
1Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. Brandon Lowe scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
