D-backs at Reds
Last play · Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Jake Fraley scores.
Win probability
Reds100%
AZ 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 3 – 2 CIN
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Reds favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ketel Marte homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Tim Tawa scores. (inning 3) — -26% D-backs
10Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Jake Fraley scores.3–4
6Christian Encarnacion-Strand homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
3TJ Friedl homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Matt McLain scores.3–2
3Geraldo Perdomo homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
3Ketel Marte homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Tim Tawa scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
