Astros at Guardians
Last play · Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
HOU 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 1 CLE
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Guardians favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker singles on a fly ball to right fielder Nolan Jones. Isaac Paredes scores. Jose Altuve scores. (inning 5) — -20% Astros
6David Fry homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.4–2
6Brendan Rodgers homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
5Will Wilson singles on a line drive to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Daniel Schneemann scores. Nolan Jones to 2nd.3–1
5Christian Walker singles on a fly ball to right fielder Nolan Jones. Isaac Paredes scores. Jose Altuve scores.3–0
5Jose Altuve singles on a ground ball to third baseman José Ramírez. Jeremy Peña scores. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
