Dodgers at Cardinals
Last play · Miguel Rojas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
LAD 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Cardinals favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pedro Pagés homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Nolan Arenado scores. (inning 2) — +20% Cardinals
8Willson Contreras homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
5Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Pedro Pagés scores. Lars Nootbaar scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.0–4
2Pedro Pagés homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Nolan Arenado scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
