Padres at Brewers
Last play · Brice Turang grounds out, catcher Martín Maldonado to first baseman Jake Cronenworth.
Win probability
Brewers0%
SD 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 0 MIL
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 8) — -23% Padres
8Manny Machado homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
3Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Tyler Wade scores. Martín Maldonado to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
