Blue Jays at Twins
Last play · Trevor Larnach strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Twins0%
TOR 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 4 – 3 MIN
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Twins favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Bichette singles on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Ernie Clement scores. Andrés Giménez scores. (inning 5) — -31% Blue Jays
8Royce Lewis singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonatan Clase. Trevor Larnach scores. Ty France to 3rd.6–4
8Alejandro Kirk singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.6–3
6George Springer homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.5–3
5Bo Bichette singles on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Ernie Clement scores. Andrés Giménez scores.4–3
4Addison Barger homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.2–3
2Christian Vázquez doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jonatan Clase. Royce Lewis scores.0–3
2Kody Clemens grounds out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Brooks Lee scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.0–2
1Trevor Larnach homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
