Marlins at Rays
Last play · Josh Lowe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
MIA 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 10 – 6 TB
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Rays favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel, deflected by center fielder Jake Mangum. Nick Fortes scores. Xavier Edwards scores. (inning 5) — -31% Marlins
10Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Otto Lopez scores.11–10
7Brandon Lowe homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.10–10
6Taylor Walls homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Danny Jansen scores.10–9
6Christopher Morel homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.10–7
5Dane Myers doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Liam Hicks scores.10–6
5Liam Hicks doubles (7) on a fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Jesús Sánchez scores. Otto Lopez scores.9–6
5Jesús Sánchez doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel, deflected by center fielder Jake Mangum. Nick Fortes scores. Xavier Edwards scores.7–6
5Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to right fielder José Caballero. Connor Norby scores. Nick Fortes to 3rd.5–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
