Cubs at Tigers
Last play · Cubs challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: catcher Reese McGuire picks off Wenceel Pérez at 1st on throw to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CHC 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 1 DET
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Tigers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Busch homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 5) — -20% Cubs
8Seiya Suzuki homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.6–1
7Matt Shaw homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
7Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
5Jake Rogers singles on a ground ball to third baseman Matt Shaw. Zach McKinstry scores.3–1
5Michael Busch homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores.3–0
1Seiya Suzuki homers (15) on a line drive to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
