Astros at Guardians
Last play · Jhonkensy Noel strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
HOU 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 0 CLE
Astros led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Guardians favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Jacob Melton scores. (inning 10) — -43% Astros
10Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Jacob Melton scores.5–3
7José Ramírez homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Steven Kwan scores.3–3
6Gabriel Arias singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jose Altuve. José Ramírez scores. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.3–1
6Yainer Diaz homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Victor Caratini scores.3–0
5Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to first baseman Kyle Manzardo. Yainer Diaz scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
