Phillies at Pirates
Last play · Alec Bohm grounds out, shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Jared Triolo.
Win probability
Pirates100%
PHI 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Pirates favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Henry Davis homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 7) — +21% Pirates
7Henry Davis homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
1Andrew McCutchen singles on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Nick Gonzales scores.1–1
1Kyle Schwarber homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
