Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Paul Goldschmidt grounds out softly, first baseman Abraham Toro to pitcher Aroldis Chapman.
Win probability
Yankees0%
BOS 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 8 – 5 NYY
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story doubles (5) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez, deflected by third baseman Pablo Reyes. Carlos Narváez scores. Romy Gonzalez scores. Abraham Toro scores. (inning 3) — -36% Red Sox
9Trevor Story singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Carlos Narváez scores. Marcelo Mayer scores. Abraham Toro to 2nd.10–7
8DJ LeMahieu singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Ben Rice scores. Cody Bellinger scores. DJ LeMahieu to 2nd.8–7
4Pablo Reyes grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. DJ LeMahieu scores.8–5
4Austin Wells doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Cody Bellinger scores. DJ LeMahieu to 3rd.8–4
4Romy Gonzalez homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Rob Refsnyder scores.8–3
3Kristian Campbell singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Trevor Story scores.6–3
3Trevor Story doubles (5) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez, deflected by third baseman Pablo Reyes. Carlos Narváez scores. Romy Gonzalez scores. Abraham Toro scores.5–3
3Abraham Toro singles on a line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Rob Refsnyder scores. Carlos Narváez to 3rd. Romy Gonzalez to 2nd.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
