D-backs at Reds
Last play · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. grounds out, third baseman Santiago Espinal to first baseman Spencer Steer.
Win probability
Reds100%
AZ 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 2 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Reds favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt McLain homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Fraley scores. (inning 7) — +31% Reds
7Matt McLain homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Fraley scores.2–4
5Jose Trevino homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
4Christian Encarnacion-Strand homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
3Corbin Carroll singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Alek Thomas scores.2–0
2Eugenio Suárez homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
