Blue Jays at Twins
Last play · Trevor Larnach flies out to left fielder Jonatan Clase.
Win probability
Twins0%
TOR 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 2 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Twins favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Springer homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Addison Barger scores. (inning 8) — -52% Blue Jays
9Kody Clemens homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.5–4
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Willi Castro. Tyler Heineman scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.5–3
8George Springer homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Addison Barger scores.4–3
6Matt Wallner homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.2–3
4Royce Lewis walks. Carlos Correa scores. Matt Wallner to 3rd. Ty France to 2nd.2–2
4Ty France hit by pitch. Ryan Jeffers scores. Carlos Correa to 3rd. Matt Wallner to 2nd.2–1
2Tyler Heineman homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. George Springer to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
