Braves at Giants
Last play · Matt Chapman homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Heliot Ramos scores.
Win probability
Giants100%
ATL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 1 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Giants favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Heliot Ramos scores. (inning 9) — +55% Giants
9Matt Chapman homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Heliot Ramos scores.2–3
6Marcell Ozuna grounds into a force out, third baseman Matt Chapman to second baseman Tyler Fitzgerald. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Drake Baldwin to 3rd. Austin Riley out at 2nd. Marcell Ozuna to 1st.2–1
5Michael Harris II homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
4Wilmer Flores homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
