Padres at Brewers
Last play · Caleb Durbin homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.
Win probability
Brewers100%
SD 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 0 MIL
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Arraez doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Tyler Wade scores. Xander Bogaerts scores. (inning 9) — -44% Padres
9Caleb Durbin homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.3–4
9Luis Arraez doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Tyler Wade scores. Xander Bogaerts scores.3–3
8Isaac Collins singles on a fly ball to left fielder Gavin Sheets. William Contreras scores. Sal Frelick out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Gavin Sheets to third baseman Manny Machado.1–3
8Rhys Hoskins out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Christian Yelich scores.1–2
7Jake Bauers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Isaac Collins scores.1–1
4Elias Díaz singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Jackson Merrill scores. Jose Iglesias to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
