Rangers at Nationals
Last play · Riley Adams strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals0%
TEX 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 2 WSH
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Nationals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Evan Carter homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 2) — -24% Rangers
8Jake Burger homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
5Marcus Semien grounds out softly, shortstop Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Josh Smith scores. Sam Haggerty to 3rd. Corey Seager to 2nd.3–2
4Josh Bell grounds into a force out, second baseman Marcus Semien to shortstop Corey Seager. Amed Rosario scores. Nathaniel Lowe out at 2nd. Josh Bell to 1st.2–2
4Alex Call homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
2Evan Carter homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Marcus Semien scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
