Phillies at Pirates
Last play · Alec Bohm grounds into a double play, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Jared Triolo. Johan Rojas out at 2nd. Alec Bohm out at 1st.
Win probability
Pirates100%
PHI 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Pirates favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew McCutchen singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Oneil Cruz scores. (inning 8) — +29% Pirates
8Andrew McCutchen singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Oneil Cruz scores.1–2
3Rafael Marchán doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Brandon Marsh scores. Throwing error by second baseman Nick Gonzales.1–1
2Jared Triolo doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
