Cubs at Tigers
Last play · Michael Busch flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Tigers100%
CHC 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 4 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Tigers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Torkelson doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Parker Meadows scores. Gleyber Torres scores. (inning 1) — +17% Tigers
5Riley Greene singles on a line drive to left fielder Seiya Suzuki. Gleyber Torres scores. Kerry Carpenter scores.0–4
1Spencer Torkelson doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Parker Meadows scores. Gleyber Torres scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
