Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
BOS 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 3 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Narváez homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores. Rob Refsnyder scores. (inning 6) — -46% Red Sox
9Aaron Judge homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Austin Wells scores.11–7
9Abraham Toro doubles (7) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Marcelo Mayer scores.11–5
9Rafael Devers homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.10–5
8Trevor Story homers (8) on a line drive to right center field.9–5
8Abraham Toro homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.8–5
6Trent Grisham walks. Cody Bellinger scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.7–5
6Jazz Chisholm Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Aaron Judge scores.7–4
6Jarren Duran singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Abraham Toro scores. Trevor Story scores. Kristian Campbell to 2nd.7–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
