Marlins at Rays
Last play · Dane Myers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
MIA 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 2 TB
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -220
Rays favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz homers (9) on a line drive to right field. Taylor Walls scores. (inning 5) — +29% Rays
8Brandon Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dane Myers. José Caballero scores.2–3
5Yandy Díaz homers (9) on a line drive to right field. Taylor Walls scores.2–2
5Jesús Sánchez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kameron Misner. Heriberto Hernández scores. Jesús Sánchez to 2nd.2–0
1Otto Lopez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kameron Misner. Xavier Edwards scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
