Braves at Giants
Last play · Drake Baldwin strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants100%
ATL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 4 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Giants favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mike Yastrzemski doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Wilmer Flores scores. Matt Chapman scores. (inning 4) — +27% Giants
4Tyler Fitzgerald reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Ozzie Albies. Mike Yastrzemski scores.3–4
4Mike Yastrzemski doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Wilmer Flores scores. Matt Chapman scores.3–3
3Matt Olson doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daniel Johnson. Nick Allen scores. Austin Riley scores.3–1
2Mike Yastrzemski out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Matt Chapman scores.1–1
1Matt Olson grounds into a force out, first baseman Dominic Smith to shortstop Casey Schmitt. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Austin Riley out at 2nd. Matt Olson to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
