Last play · Ceddanne Rafaela lines out sharply to shortstop Taylor Walls.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TB 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
TB 3 – 1 BOS
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-110 / -110
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kristian Campbell singles on a ground ball to second baseman José Caballero. Abraham Toro scores. (inning 9) — +42% Red Sox
11Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. Josh Lowe scores. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd. Junior Caminero to 2nd.10–8
11Junior Caminero walks. Danny Jansen scores. Josh Lowe to 3rd. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.9–8
10Abraham Toro reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd. Throwing error by first baseman Jonathan Aranda.8–8
10Taylor Walls out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Junior Caminero scores.8–7
9Kristian Campbell singles on a ground ball to second baseman José Caballero. Abraham Toro scores.7–7
9Roman Anthony grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Rafael Devers scores. Abraham Toro to 3rd.7–6
9Jonathan Aranda out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. José Caballero scores. Yandy Díaz to 2nd.7–5
7Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Mangum. Jarren Duran scores.6–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
TB10–
BOS8