Blue Jays at Cardinals
Last play · Brendan Donovan lines out sharply to center fielder Jonatan Clase.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
TOR 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 0 STL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Iván Herrera homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Masyn Winn scores. Willson Contreras scores. (inning 8) — +73% Cardinals
10Alejandro Kirk doubles (8) on a fly ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Addison Barger scores.5–4
9Jonatan Clase homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.4–4
8Iván Herrera homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Masyn Winn scores. Willson Contreras scores.3–4
8Willson Contreras singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Victor Scott II scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.3–1
8Alejandro Kirk homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
2Bo Bichette singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Ernie Clement scores.2–0
1George Springer doubles (15) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Addison Barger scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
