Reds at Guardians
CIN7–
CLE4Last play · Lane Thomas called out on strikes.
Win probability
Guardians0%
CIN 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 4 – 3 CLE
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Guardians favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Encarnacion-Strand out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Steven Kwan. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 5) — -16% Reds
9Connor Joe doubles (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Nolan Jones. Tyler Stephenson scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd.7–4
7Bo Naylor homers (9) on a line drive to right center field.6–4
7Will Benson singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Christian Encarnacion-Strand scores. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.6–3
6Gavin Lux singles on a line drive to right fielder Johnathan Rodríguez. Jake Fraley scores. TJ Friedl to 2nd.5–3
5Christian Encarnacion-Strand out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Steven Kwan. TJ Friedl scores.4–3
4Jake Fraley homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.3–3
3Carlos Santana singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. José Ramírez scores. David Fry to 3rd.2–3
3José Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Angel Martínez scores. Lane Thomas out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Jake Fraley to first baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to second baseman Matt McLain to third baseman Santiago Espinal. José Ramírez to 2nd.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.