Dodgers at Padres
Last play · Xander Bogaerts flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
Win probability
Padres0%
LAD 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 6 – 6 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Padres favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Wade triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Hyeseong Kim, deflected by right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts scores. (inning 3) — +35% Padres
10Jackson Merrill doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Luis Arraez scores.8–7
10Tommy Edman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Andy Pages scores.8–6
10Andy Pages doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Max Muncy scores.7–6
5Hyeseong Kim doubles (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Max Muncy scores.6–6
3Tyler Wade triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Hyeseong Kim, deflected by right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts scores.5–6
3Will Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Freddie Freeman scores.5–3
3Teoscar Hernández out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Mookie Betts scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd.3–3
2Luis Arraez grounds out, first baseman Freddie Freeman to pitcher Dustin May.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
