Cubs at Phillies
Last play · Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. J.T. Realmuto scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Otto Kemp to 2nd.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CHC 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Phillies favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.T. Realmuto singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Nick Castellanos scores. (inning 11) — +44% Phillies
11Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. J.T. Realmuto scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Otto Kemp to 2nd.3–4
11J.T. Realmuto singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Nick Castellanos scores.3–3
11Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Kyle Tucker scores.3–2
8Ian Happ homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
5Weston Wilson singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Otto Kemp scores.1–2
4J.T. Realmuto grounds into a force out, third baseman Matt Shaw to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Kyle Schwarber scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd. Nick Castellanos out at 2nd. J.T. Realmuto to 1st.1–1
1Kyle Tucker homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
