Braves at Brewers
Last play · Sean Murphy flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
ATL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Brewers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Joey Ortiz scores. (inning 3) — +23% Brewers
7William Contreras walks. Caleb Durbin scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd. Brice Turang to 2nd.1–4
6Jake Bauers homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
5Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Nick Allen scores.1–2
3Jackson Chourio homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Joey Ortiz scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
