Marlins at Pirates
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
MIA 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 0 PIT
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Pirates favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Fortes homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Dane Myers scores. (inning 3) — -26% Marlins
8Oneil Cruz homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2
8Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
4Eric Wagaman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Otto Lopez scores. Eric Wagaman to 2nd. Eric Wagaman advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by catcher Henry Davis.3–0
3Nick Fortes homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Dane Myers scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
