Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Christopher Morel flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TB 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Roman Anthony doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. Rafael Devers scores. Carlos Narváez scores. (inning 1) — +17% Red Sox
6Trevor Story homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–3
5Yandy Díaz singles on a sharp line drive to second baseman Kristian Campbell. José Caballero scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd.1–2
1Roman Anthony doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. Rafael Devers scores. Carlos Narváez scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
