Dodgers at Padres
Last play · Freddie Freeman grounds into a double play, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Luis Arraez. Hyeseong Kim out at 2nd. Freddie Freeman out at 1st.
Win probability
Padres100%
LAD 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 5 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Padres favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Luis Arraez scores. (inning 3) — +12% Padres
8Michael Conforto singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Miguel Rojas scores. Max Muncy to 2nd.1–11
7Manny Machado singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Michael Conforto. Martín Maldonado scores. Luis Arraez scores.0–11
6Xander Bogaerts singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Hyeseong Kim. Luis Arraez scores. Jackson Merrill scores.0–9
6Manny Machado grounds out, third baseman Max Muncy to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez to 2nd.0–7
6Martín Maldonado homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.0–6
5Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Luis Arraez scores.0–5
4Martín Maldonado grounds into a double play, third baseman Max Muncy to second baseman Tommy Edman to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Tyler Wade out at 2nd. Martín Maldonado out at 1st.0–4
3Jackson Merrill triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Manny Machado scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
