Blue Jays at Cardinals
Last play · Alec Burleson grounds out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Ernie Clement.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
TOR 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 6 – 4 STL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cardinals favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Gorman homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Arenado scores. (inning 4) — +37% Cardinals
9Willson Contreras homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Masyn Winn scores. Iván Herrera scores.10–9
9Ernie Clement lines out sharply to center fielder Victor Scott II.10–6
9Andrés Giménez singles on a line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Bo Bichette scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd.9–6
8Nolan Arenado homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Alec Burleson scores.8–6
7Alejandro Kirk homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Addison Barger scores.8–4
5George Springer out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Bo Bichette scores.6–4
5Addison Barger doubles (13) on a fly ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Jonatan Clase scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd.5–4
4Nolan Gorman homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Arenado scores.4–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
