Rangers at Twins
Last play · Adolis García grounds out, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Twins100%
TEX 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 6 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Twins favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Byron Buxton homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Brooks Lee scores. Christian Vázquez scores. (inning 3) — +35% Twins
5Carlos Correa hits a ground-rule double (13) on a line drive down the left-field line. Willi Castro scores.2–6
5Willi Castro triples (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Matt Wallner scores. Ty France scores.2–5
3Byron Buxton homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Brooks Lee scores. Christian Vázquez scores.2–3
3Josh Smith doubles (9) on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jonah Heim scores.2–0
2Marcus Semien homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
