Nationals at Mets
Last play · Andrés Chaparro grounds out, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
WSH 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+230 / -285
Mets favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 3) — +17% Mets
7Brandon Nimmo homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.0–5
5Brandon Nimmo homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.0–4
3Juan Soto homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Francisco Lindor scores.0–3
1Pete Alonso doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Brandon Nimmo scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
