Braves at Brewers
Last play · Jake Bauers grounds out sharply, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Brewers0%
ATL 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 5 – 1 MIL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Brewers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Harris II homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 2) — -24% Braves
8Eric Haase doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Eli White. Sal Frelick scores.6–2
7Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Austin Riley scores.6–1
4Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Allen scores.5–1
2Rhys Hoskins homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
2Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Bauers. Nick Allen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 3rd.3–0
2Michael Harris II homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Marcell Ozuna scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
